“Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning.” – Winston Churchill
These guys are not going to quit. Hollywood wants what essentially is a bailout in SOPA. Its model is old and tired. The Hollywood establishment has a vision of intellectual property (see Disney’s efforts to extend copyright to “life of the creator plus 70 years”) that makes absolutely no sense in the world as it is today. It makes even less sense in the world that is to come. The guys at the studios know they are in serious trouble and that is why they are working their friends in government while they still can. They get SOPA now and hang on for another decade and a half or they will see their bloated, union heavy, system collapse in the next few years. They saw what happened to music and they don’t want to end up like the recording industry.
What is particularly scary is that Chris Dodd, and the boys over at the MPAA are probably willing to do real damage to the 1st Amendment to preserve their way of life.
So, as predicted, the battle earlier this year over SOPA/PIPA is just the beginning. The Motion Picture Association of America will not quit because it perceives that it is in a life or death struggle.
Frankly it is for them. But they are going to die even with SOPA. They just don’t realize it yet.
Hollywood might be able to ward off the reaper for a few more years by getting legislation that destroys further our rights and liberties. Harvey Weinstein and his ilk might be able to cling to a bygone business model for a few more years. But #oldmedia movies are a dead industry walking. Top heavy movie making doesn’t make sense anymore.
So everyone out there who gathered to defeat SOPA the first time, remember you are on call. You will be needed again and probably again, and again after that. This is a war of attrition and we have the numbers, market forces, and history on our side. For right now though, Hollywood has the politicians. We must continue the fight until this is no longer the case.