This is the factor that too many Dems dismiss with Trump. His support is deep within the Rust Belt, an area which still has the vestiges of the “Reagan Democrat” phenomenon. (Not that Trump appeals to them for the same reasons. It’s a very different equation.) This area stretches from Ohio, into Michigan, through Pennsylvania and into New Jersey. (And West Virginia too of course.) Trump more than contends in these states, he might even be the favorite. Something new for a “Republican.” If Trump wins Ohio and Pennsylvania he’s probably president.
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